Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Corvinul Hunedoara vs U Craiova 1948 — Liga II 2018

Corvinul Hunedoara
Corvinul Hunedoara
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
U Craiova 1948
U Craiova 1948
3/2/2025Liga IILiga II · Round 19Complexul Sportiv Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 29+ matches

Corvinul Hunedoara47%
×Draw27%
U Craiova 194826%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Corvinul Hunedoara
1.38
U Craiova 1948
0.94

Corvinul Hunedoara creates 47% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 29 away

creates per match

Corvinul Hunedoara
1.66
U Craiova 1948
1.24

allows per match

Corvinul Hunedoara
0.64
U Craiova 1948
1.10

finishing

Corvinul Hunedoara+0.00on par
U Craiova 1948+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Corvinul Hunedoara ↓

U Craiova 1948 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–19%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Corvinul Hunedoara or draw
74%
Corvinul Hunedoara or U Craiova 1948
73%
Draw or U Craiova 1948
53%

Winning margin

Corvinul Hunedoara wins by 2+
23%
U Craiova 1948 wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Corvinul Hunedoara 1+ goals
75%
Corvinul Hunedoara 2+ goals
40%
Corvinul Hunedoara 3+ goals
16%
U Craiova 1948 1+ goals
61%
U Craiova 1948 2+ goals
24%
U Craiova 1948 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Corvinul Hunedoara (draw refunded)
65%
U Craiova 1948 (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Corvinul Hunedoara at home — creates 1.66, concedes 0.64 · 44 matches

U Craiova 1948 away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.10 · 29 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Corvinul Hunedoara attack 1.66 + U Craiova 1948 defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.38

U Craiova 1948 attack 1.24 + Corvinul Hunedoara defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Corvinul Hunedoara scores more
47%
level
27%
U Craiova 1948 scores more
26%

Corvinul Hunedoara at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Corvinul Hunedoara will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Corvinul Hunedoara vs U Craiova 1948

Corvinul Hunedoara and U Craiova 1948 drew 0-0 in Liga II on March 2, 2025.

The match was played at Complexul Sportiv Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara in Hunedoara.