Coquimbo Unido 0–0 Huachipato: Result & Stats

Coquimbo Unido

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Huachipato

4/12/2025

Primera División · Round 7Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Coquimbo Unido62%

×Draw23%

Huachipato15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Coquimbo UnidoExpected goals in this matchHuachipato

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.77

0.74

Coquimbo Unido

1.77

Huachipato

0.74

Coquimbo Unido creates 139% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 6 away

1.79

creates per match

0.80

0.68

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

Coquimbo Unido

1.79

Huachipato

0.80

allows per match

Coquimbo Unido

0.68

Huachipato

1.75

+0.10scores more than expected

finishing

+0.20scores more than expected

finishing

Coquimbo Unido+0.10scores more

Huachipato+0.20scores more

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Coquimbo Unido ↓

Huachipato →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–16%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–16%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Coquimbo Unido or draw

85%

Coquimbo Unido or Huachipato

77%

Draw or Huachipato

38%

Winning margin

Coquimbo Unido wins by 2+

36%

Huachipato wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Coquimbo Unido 1+ goals

83%

Coquimbo Unido 2+ goals

53%

Coquimbo Unido 3+ goals

26%

Huachipato 1+ goals

52%

Huachipato 2+ goals

17%

Huachipato 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Coquimbo Unido (draw refunded)

80%

Huachipato (draw refunded)

20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Coquimbo Unido at home — creates 1.79, concedes 0.68 · 9 matches

Huachipato away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.75 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Coquimbo Unido attack 1.79 + Huachipato defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.77

Huachipato attack 0.80 + Coquimbo Unido defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Coquimbo Unido scores more

62%

level

23%

Huachipato scores more

15%

Coquimbo Unido at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Coquimbo Unido will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

R. Malanca

Huachipato · D

8.0

Match Events

46'

N. Vargas← M. Gutierrez

66'

M. A. Mundaca Barraza← B. Chandia

67'

S. Silva← J. A. Martinez

67'

C. Villanueva← C. Sepulveda

67'

C. G. Torres Gaete← M. Briceno

73'

Bruno Cabrera

74'

A. Camargo← M. Zepeda

74'

N. Johansen← A. E. Azocar Machuca

83'

Brea← L. Diaz

89'

Sebastián Galani

90+5'

Manuel Fernández

90+5'

Carlo Villanueva

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CoquimboHuachipato

Overview

52%Possession48%

16Total Shots4

12Corners1

17Fouls6

Shots

16Total Shots4

3On Target1

5Off Target2

8Blocked1

11Inside Box1

5Outside Box3

Passing

52%Possession48%

358Total Passes370

282Accurate Passes295

79%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

17Fouls6

2Yellow Cards0

1Red Cards1

2Offsides1

Primera División: Coquimbo Unido 0–0 Huachipato

Coquimbo Unido and Huachipato drew 0-0 in Primera División on April 12, 2025.

Coquimbo Unido controlled possession (52%) and registered 16 shots to 4.

The match was played at Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso in Coquimbo.

Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato — Primera División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Primera División: Coquimbo Unido 0–0 Huachipato