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Cooper vs Atletico Torque — Segunda División 2026

Cooper
Cooper
FT
4 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Atletico Torque
Atletico Torque
11/10/2024Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · 2nd Phase - 25Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Cooper29%
×Draw30%
Atletico Torque42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cooper
0.92
Atletico Torque
1.17

Atletico Torque creates 27% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 27 away

creates per match

Cooper
1.06
Atletico Torque
1.15

allows per match

Cooper
1.19
Atletico Torque
0.78

finishing

Cooper+0.00on par
Atletico Torque+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cooper ↓

Atletico Torque →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–114%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–16%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Cooper or draw
58%
Cooper or Atletico Torque
70%
Draw or Atletico Torque
71%

Winning margin

Cooper wins by 2+
10%
Atletico Torque wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Cooper 1+ goals
60%
Cooper 2+ goals
23%
Cooper 3+ goals
7%
Atletico Torque 1+ goals
69%
Atletico Torque 2+ goals
33%
Atletico Torque 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Cooper (draw refunded)
41%
Atletico Torque (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cooper at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.19 · 16 matches

Atletico Torque away — creates 1.15, concedes 0.78 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cooper attack 1.06 + Atletico Torque defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.92

Atletico Torque attack 1.15 + Cooper defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Cooper scores more
29%
level
30%
Atletico Torque scores more
42%

Atletico Torque at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Atletico Torque will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Cooper vs Atletico Torque

Cooper beat Atletico Torque 4-2 in Segunda División on November 10, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Campeón del Siglo in Montevideo.