Scoreo

Comunicaciones vs Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana 2026

S. Matos 86' (pen), 75'
J. Ferrero 79'
M. García 39'
3/5/2022Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Apertura - 4Estadio Alfredo Ramos

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 99+ matches

Comunicaciones37%
×Draw31%
Talleres Remedios32%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Comunicaciones
1.05
Talleres Remedios
0.96

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 144 home / 99 away

creates per match

Comunicaciones
1.17
Talleres Remedios
0.97

allows per match

Comunicaciones
0.96
Talleres Remedios
0.94

finishing

Comunicaciones+0.00on par
Talleres Remedios+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Comunicaciones

Talleres Remedios
0
1
2
3
4
0
0013%
0113%
026%
032%
040%
1
1014%
1114%
126%
132%
140%
2
207%
217%
223%
231%
240%
3
303%
312%
321%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Comunicaciones or draw
68%
Comunicaciones or Talleres Remedios
69%
Draw or Talleres Remedios
63%

Winning margin

Comunicaciones wins by 2+
15%
Talleres Remedios wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Comunicaciones 1+ goals
65%
Comunicaciones 2+ goals
28%
Comunicaciones 3+ goals
9%
Talleres Remedios 1+ goals
62%
Talleres Remedios 2+ goals
25%
Talleres Remedios 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Comunicaciones (draw refunded)
53%
Talleres Remedios (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Comunicaciones at homecreates 1.17, concedes 0.96 · 144 matches

Talleres Remedios awaycreates 0.97, concedes 0.94 · 99 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Comunicaciones attack 1.17 + Talleres Remedios defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.05

Talleres Remedios attack 0.97 + Comunicaciones defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Comunicaciones scores more
37%
level
31%
Talleres Remedios scores more
32%

Comunicaciones at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Comunicaciones will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Comunicaciones
Talleres
G. Cavalieri
Manager: G. Cavalieri
59'A. CattáneoR. Lima
59'J. FerreroN. Cáceres
75'D. CasopperoA. Vázquez
82'E. TroventoL. Banegas
82'M. MiragliaR. Lastra
F. Lisa
Manager: F. Lisa
63'M. SosaA. Diogo
70'L. FaríasA. Aranda

Talleres Remedios substitutes

Comunicaciones 4 – 0 Talleres Remedios

Comunicaciones beat Talleres Remedios 4-0 in Primera B Metropolitana on March 5, 2022.

Goals: M. García (39'), S. Matos (75', 86' pen), J. Ferrero (79').

The match was played at Estadio Alfredo Ramos in Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires.