Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Comillas vs Vianés — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2019

Comillas
Comillas
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Vianés
Vianés
4/19/2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Group 16 - 31Estadio El Salvador

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 94+ matches

Comillas39%
×Draw26%
Vianés36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Comillas
1.40
Vianés
1.33

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 94 home / 111 away

creates per match

Comillas
1.09
Vianés
1.12

allows per match

Comillas
1.53
Vianés
1.71

finishing

Comillas+0.00on par
Vianés+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Comillas ↓

Vianés →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Comillas or draw
64%
Comillas or Vianés
74%
Draw or Vianés
61%

Winning margin

Comillas wins by 2+
18%
Vianés wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Comillas 1+ goals
75%
Comillas 2+ goals
41%
Comillas 3+ goals
17%
Vianés 1+ goals
74%
Vianés 2+ goals
38%
Vianés 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Comillas (draw refunded)
52%
Vianés (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Comillas at home — creates 1.09, concedes 1.53 · 94 matches

Vianés away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.71 · 111 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Comillas attack 1.09 + Vianés defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.40

Vianés attack 1.12 + Comillas defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Comillas scores more
39%
level
26%
Vianés scores more
36%

Comillas at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Comillas will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Comillas vs Vianés

Comillas beat Vianés 4-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 on April 19, 2026.

The match was played at Estadio El Salvador in Logroño.