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Colombe vs Unisport Bafang — Elite One 2019

Colombe
Colombe
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Unisport Bafang
Unisport Bafang
P. Edzimbii 90'
R. Ntume 31'
J. Enow 6'
A. Fokem Namekong 21' (pen)
6/4/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 22

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Colombe51%
×Draw26%
Unisport Bafang23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Colombe
1.54
Unisport Bafang
0.94

Colombe creates 64% more chances

Season form · 91 home / 21 away

creates per match

Colombe
1.41
Unisport Bafang
1.10

allows per match

Colombe
0.78
Unisport Bafang
1.67

finishing

Colombe+0.00on par
Unisport Bafang+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Colombe ↓

Unisport Bafang →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Colombe or draw
77%
Colombe or Unisport Bafang
74%
Draw or Unisport Bafang
49%

Winning margin

Colombe wins by 2+
26%
Unisport Bafang wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Colombe 1+ goals
79%
Colombe 2+ goals
45%
Colombe 3+ goals
20%
Unisport Bafang 1+ goals
61%
Unisport Bafang 2+ goals
24%
Unisport Bafang 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Colombe (draw refunded)
69%
Unisport Bafang (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Colombe at home — creates 1.41, concedes 0.78 · 91 matches

Unisport Bafang away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.67 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Colombe attack 1.41 + Unisport Bafang defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.54

Unisport Bafang attack 1.10 + Colombe defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Colombe scores more
51%
level
26%
Unisport Bafang scores more
23%

Colombe at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Colombe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
J. Enow
21'
A. Fokem NamekongPenalty
31'
R. Ntume
90'
P. Edzimbii

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Colombe vs Unisport Bafang

Colombe beat Unisport Bafang 3-1 in Elite One on June 4, 2026.

Goals: J. Enow (6'), A. Fokem Namekong (21' pen), R. Ntume (31'), P. Edzimbii (90').