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Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford — First Division 2026

Cobh Ramblers
Cobh Ramblers
Preview
18:45
Wexford
Wexford
7/31/2026First DivisionFirst Division · Round 25
Big match
44%
Cobh Ramblers
model favours
44%25%31%

Cobh Ramblers score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 117+ matches

Cobh Ramblers44%
×Draw25%
Wexford31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cobh Ramblers
1.59
Wexford
1.30

Cobh Ramblers creates 22% more chances

Season form · 117 home / 118 away

creates per match

Cobh Ramblers
1.47
Wexford
1.19

allows per match

Cobh Ramblers
1.41
Wexford
1.72

finishing

Cobh Ramblers+0.00on par
Wexford+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 55Under: 4555%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 58No: 4258%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cobh Ramblers ↓

Wexford →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Cobh Ramblers or draw
69%
Cobh Ramblers or Wexford
75%
Draw or Wexford
56%

Winning margin

Cobh Ramblers wins by 2+
22%
Wexford wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Cobh Ramblers 1+ goals
80%
Cobh Ramblers 2+ goals
47%
Cobh Ramblers 3+ goals
21%
Wexford 1+ goals
73%
Wexford 2+ goals
37%
Wexford 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Cobh Ramblers (draw refunded)
59%
Wexford (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cobh Ramblers at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.41 · 117 matches

Wexford away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.72 · 118 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cobh Ramblers attack 1.47 + Wexford defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.59

Wexford attack 1.19 + Cobh Ramblers defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Cobh Ramblers scores more
44%
level
25%
Wexford scores more
31%

Cobh Ramblers at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Cobh Ramblers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Wexford score first in only 31% of matches
  • Both teams score in 75% of Wexford’s matches
  • Both teams score in 73% of Cobh Ramblers’s matches
  • 69% of Wexford’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Wexford have won 7 of the last 10 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Ramblers
LLLLL
Wexford
WLDLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Cobh Ramblers host Wexford

July 31, 2026: Cobh Ramblers take on Wexford in First Division. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.