Cobh Ramblers 4–0 Wexford: Result & Stats

Cobh Ramblers

FT

4 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Wexford

L. Molloy 86', 38'

D. Crowley 32'

D. Hurley 26'

8/18/2020

First Division · Round 7St. Colman's Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 117+ matches

Cobh Ramblers44%

×Draw25%

Wexford31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Cobh RamblersExpected goals in this matchWexford

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

1.30

Cobh Ramblers

1.59

Wexford

1.30

Cobh Ramblers creates 22% more chances

Season form · 117 home / 118 away

1.47

creates per match

1.19

1.41

allows per match

1.72

creates per match

Cobh Ramblers

1.47

Wexford

1.19

allows per match

Cobh Ramblers

1.41

Wexford

1.72

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cobh Ramblers+0.00on par

Wexford+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cobh Ramblers ↓

Wexford →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Cobh Ramblers or draw

69%

Cobh Ramblers or Wexford

75%

Draw or Wexford

56%

Winning margin

Cobh Ramblers wins by 2+

22%

Wexford wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Cobh Ramblers 1+ goals

80%

Cobh Ramblers 2+ goals

47%

Cobh Ramblers 3+ goals

21%

Wexford 1+ goals

73%

Wexford 2+ goals

37%

Wexford 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Cobh Ramblers (draw refunded)

59%

Wexford (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cobh Ramblers at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.41 · 117 matches

Wexford away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.72 · 118 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cobh Ramblers attack 1.47 + Wexford defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.59

Wexford attack 1.19 + Cobh Ramblers defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Cobh Ramblers scores more

44%

level

25%

Wexford scores more

31%

Cobh Ramblers at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Cobh Ramblers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

26'

32'

38'

46'

K. Fitzsimons← J. Amour

66'

C. Giles← J. Larkin

80'

I. Turner← C. Harlson

85'

C. Leonard← C. Drinan

85'

S. O'Leary← D. Crowley

86'

L. Molloy

Cobh

Wexford

▼

▼

▼

⚽

⚽2

⚽

▼

Crowley

▼

Drinan

Manager: S. Ashton

80'▲I. Turner←▼C. Harlson

85'▲C. Leonard←▼C. Drinan

85'▲S. O'Leary←▼D. Crowley

Cobh Ramblers substitutes

TurnerLeonardO'LearyMurphyFoleyHuntColeman

Manager: B. O'Sullivan

46'▲K. Fitzsimons←▼J. Amour

66'▲C. Giles←▼J. Larkin

Wexford substitutes

FitzsimonsGilesSmithLydonCrawfordMcEvoyO'sullivan

First Division: Cobh Ramblers 4–0 Wexford

Cobh Ramblers beat Wexford 4-0 in First Division on August 18, 2020.

Goals: D. Hurley (26'), D. Crowley (32'), L. Molloy (38', 86').

The match was played at St. Colman's Park in Cobh.

Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford — First Division 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

First Division: Cobh Ramblers 4–0 Wexford