Scoreo

Clydebank vs Cumbernauld ColtsLeague #731 2026

53%
Cumbernauld Colts
model favours
24%23%53%

Clydebank have won 3 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Clydebank24%
×Draw23%
Cumbernauld Colts53%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Clydebank
1.17
Cumbernauld Colts
1.83

Cumbernauld Colts creates 56% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

Clydebank
1.33
Cumbernauld Colts
2.33

allows per match

Clydebank
1.33
Cumbernauld Colts
1.00

finishing

Clydebank+0.00on par
Cumbernauld Colts+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clydebank

Cumbernauld Colts
0
1
2
3
4
0
005%
019%
028%
035%
042%
1
106%
1111%
1210%
136%
143%
2
203%
216%
226%
233%
242%
3
301%
312%
322%
331%
341%
4
400%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Clydebank or draw
47%
Clydebank or Cumbernauld Colts
77%
Draw or Cumbernauld Colts
76%

Winning margin

Clydebank wins by 2+
10%
Cumbernauld Colts wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Clydebank 1+ goals
69%
Clydebank 2+ goals
33%
Clydebank 3+ goals
11%
Cumbernauld Colts 1+ goals
84%
Cumbernauld Colts 2+ goals
54%
Cumbernauld Colts 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

Clydebank (draw refunded)
32%
Cumbernauld Colts (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clydebank at homecreates 1.33, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

Cumbernauld Colts awaycreates 2.33, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clydebank attack 1.33 + Cumbernauld Colts defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.17

Cumbernauld Colts attack 2.33 + Clydebank defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Clydebank scores more
24%
level
23%
Cumbernauld Colts scores more
53%

Cumbernauld Colts at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Cumbernauld Colts will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Clydebank
WWWW
Colts
LWWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Clydebank host Cumbernauld Colts

December 26, 2026: Clydebank take on Cumbernauld Colts in League #731. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.