Scoreo

Club Brugge KV vs Beerschot VAFriendlies Clubs 2026

Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
CANC
13:30
HT: 10
Beerschot VA
Beerschot VA

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Club Brugge KV34%
×Draw22%
Beerschot VA45%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Club Brugge KV
1.69
Beerschot VA
1.97

Beerschot VA creates 17% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 9 away

creates per match

Club Brugge KV
2.17
Beerschot VA
3.11

allows per match

Club Brugge KV
0.83
Beerschot VA
1.22

finishing

Club Brugge KV+0.00on par
Beerschot VA+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Club Brugge KV

Beerschot VA
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
015%
025%
033%
042%
1
104%
119%
128%
136%
143%
2
204%
217%
227%
235%
242%
3
302%
314%
324%
333%
341%
4
401%
412%
422%
431%
441%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Club Brugge KV or draw
55%
Club Brugge KV or Beerschot VA
78%
Draw or Beerschot VA
66%

Winning margin

Club Brugge KV wins by 2+
17%
Beerschot VA wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

Club Brugge KV 1+ goals
82%
Club Brugge KV 2+ goals
50%
Club Brugge KV 3+ goals
24%
Beerschot VA 1+ goals
86%
Beerschot VA 2+ goals
58%
Beerschot VA 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Club Brugge KV (draw refunded)
43%
Beerschot VA (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Club Brugge KV at homecreates 2.17, concedes 0.83 · 18 matches

Beerschot VA awaycreates 3.11, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Club Brugge KV attack 2.17 + Beerschot VA defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.69

Beerschot VA attack 3.11 + Club Brugge KV defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Club Brugge KV scores more
34%
level
22%
Beerschot VA scores more
45%

Beerschot VA at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Beerschot VA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Club Brugge KV host Beerschot VA

July 2, 2022: Club Brugge KV take on Beerschot VA in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Club Brugge KV host Beerschot VA at The Nest.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.