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Club Brugge KV vs Beerschot VA — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
FT
1 – 1
Beerschot VA
Beerschot VA
6/26/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Complex Molenhoek

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Club Brugge KV35%
×Draw22%
Beerschot VA43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Club Brugge KV
1.68
Beerschot VA
1.88

Beerschot VA creates 12% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 10 away

creates per match

Club Brugge KV
2.16
Beerschot VA
2.80

allows per match

Club Brugge KV
0.95
Beerschot VA
1.20

finishing

Club Brugge KV+0.00on par
Beerschot VA+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Club Brugge KV ↓

Beerschot VA →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Club Brugge KV or draw
57%
Club Brugge KV or Beerschot VA
78%
Draw or Beerschot VA
65%

Winning margin

Club Brugge KV wins by 2+
17%
Beerschot VA wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Club Brugge KV 1+ goals
81%
Club Brugge KV 2+ goals
50%
Club Brugge KV 3+ goals
24%
Beerschot VA 1+ goals
85%
Beerschot VA 2+ goals
56%
Beerschot VA 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Club Brugge KV (draw refunded)
45%
Beerschot VA (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Club Brugge KV at home — creates 2.16, concedes 0.95 · 19 matches

Beerschot VA away — creates 2.80, concedes 1.20 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Club Brugge KV attack 2.16 + Beerschot VA defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.68

Beerschot VA attack 2.80 + Club Brugge KV defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Club Brugge KV scores more
35%
level
22%
Beerschot VA scores more
43%

Beerschot VA at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Beerschot VA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Club Brugge KV 1–1 Beerschot VA

Club Brugge KV and Beerschot VA drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 26, 2021.

The match was played at Complex Molenhoek in Knokke-Heist.