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Cliftonville W vs Athlone WFC W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Cliftonville W
Cliftonville W
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Athlone WFC W
Athlone WFC W
5/10/2026All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Cliftonville W33%
×Draw26%
Athlone WFC W41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cliftonville W
1.22
Athlone WFC W
1.39

Athlone WFC W creates 14% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 9 away

creates per match

Cliftonville W
1.22
Athlone WFC W
1.67

allows per match

Cliftonville W
1.11
Athlone WFC W
1.22

finishing

Cliftonville W+0.00on par
Athlone WFC W+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cliftonville W ↓

Athlone WFC W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Cliftonville W or draw
59%
Cliftonville W or Athlone WFC W
74%
Draw or Athlone WFC W
67%

Winning margin

Cliftonville W wins by 2+
14%
Athlone WFC W wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Cliftonville W 1+ goals
70%
Cliftonville W 2+ goals
34%
Cliftonville W 3+ goals
12%
Athlone WFC W 1+ goals
75%
Athlone WFC W 2+ goals
40%
Athlone WFC W 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Cliftonville W (draw refunded)
45%
Athlone WFC W (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cliftonville W at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

Athlone WFC W away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cliftonville W attack 1.22 + Athlone WFC W defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.22

Athlone WFC W attack 1.67 + Cliftonville W defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Cliftonville W scores more
33%
level
26%
Athlone WFC W scores more
41%

Athlone WFC W at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Athlone WFC W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: Cliftonville W 0–0 Athlone WFC W

Cliftonville W and Athlone WFC W drew 0-0 in All-Island Cup - Women on May 10, 2026.