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Cliftonville FC vs Warrenpoint Town — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
C. Murray 79'
R. Hale 53'
Unknown 37'
7/21/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Cliftonville FC84%
×Draw10%
Warrenpoint Town6%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cliftonville FC
3.42
Warrenpoint Town
0.83

Cliftonville FC creates 312% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Cliftonville FC
2.83
Warrenpoint Town
0.50

allows per match

Cliftonville FC
1.17
Warrenpoint Town
4.00

finishing

Cliftonville FC+0.00on par
Warrenpoint Town+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cliftonville FC ↓

Warrenpoint Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–14%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–09%
4–17%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (10%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
38%62%

Double chance

Cliftonville FC or draw
94%
Cliftonville FC or Warrenpoint Town
90%
Draw or Warrenpoint Town
16%

Winning margin

Cliftonville FC wins by 2+
67%
Warrenpoint Town wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Cliftonville FC 1+ goals
97%
Cliftonville FC 2+ goals
85%
Cliftonville FC 3+ goals
64%
Warrenpoint Town 1+ goals
56%
Warrenpoint Town 2+ goals
20%
Warrenpoint Town 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Cliftonville FC (draw refunded)
94%
Warrenpoint Town (draw refunded)
6%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cliftonville FC at home — creates 2.83, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Warrenpoint Town away — creates 0.50, concedes 4.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cliftonville FC attack 2.83 + Warrenpoint Town defence 4.00 → ÷2 → 3.42

Warrenpoint Town attack 0.50 + Cliftonville FC defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 84%?"

Cliftonville FC scores more
84%
level
10%
Warrenpoint Town scores more
6%

Cliftonville FC at 84% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 84% does not mean "Cliftonville FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

37'
53'
R. Hale
79'
C. Murray

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Cliftonville FC 2–1 Warrenpoint Town

Cliftonville FC beat Warrenpoint Town 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 21, 2026.

Goals: ? (37'), R. Hale (53'), C. Murray (79').