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Clermont Foot vs Le Puy Foot — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Le Puy Foot
Le Puy Foot
3/27/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Clermont Foot54%
×Draw28%
Le Puy Foot18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Clermont Foot
1.36
Le Puy Foot
0.66

Clermont Foot creates 106% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 4 away

creates per match

Clermont Foot
1.22
Le Puy Foot
0.75

allows per match

Clermont Foot
0.56
Le Puy Foot
1.50

finishing

Clermont Foot+0.00on par
Le Puy Foot+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clermont Foot ↓

Le Puy Foot →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Clermont Foot or draw
82%
Clermont Foot or Le Puy Foot
72%
Draw or Le Puy Foot
46%

Winning margin

Clermont Foot wins by 2+
26%
Le Puy Foot wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Clermont Foot 1+ goals
74%
Clermont Foot 2+ goals
39%
Clermont Foot 3+ goals
16%
Le Puy Foot 1+ goals
48%
Le Puy Foot 2+ goals
14%
Le Puy Foot 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)
75%
Le Puy Foot (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clermont Foot at home — creates 1.22, concedes 0.56 · 9 matches

Le Puy Foot away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clermont Foot attack 1.22 + Le Puy Foot defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.36

Le Puy Foot attack 0.75 + Clermont Foot defence 0.56 → ÷2 → 0.66

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Clermont Foot scores more
54%
level
28%
Le Puy Foot scores more
18%

Clermont Foot at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Clermont Foot will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Clermont
Le
Gregory Proment
Manager: Gregory Proment
Stephane Dief
Manager: Stephane Dief

Friendlies Clubs: Clermont Foot 0–0 Le Puy Foot

Clermont Foot and Le Puy Foot drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on March 27, 2026.