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Clachnacuddin vs Inverness CT — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Clachnacuddin
Clachnacuddin
FT
0 – 5
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
6/23/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Grant Street Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Clachnacuddin6%
×Draw13%
Inverness CT81%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Clachnacuddin
0.63
Inverness CT
2.71

Inverness CT creates 330% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 7 away

creates per match

Clachnacuddin
0.25
Inverness CT
2.43

allows per match

Clachnacuddin
3.00
Inverness CT
1.00

finishing

Clachnacuddin+0.00on par
Inverness CT+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clachnacuddin ↓

Inverness CT →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–110%
0–213%
0–312%
0–48%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–28%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–01%
2–12%
2–23%
2–32%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (13%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Clachnacuddin or draw
19%
Clachnacuddin or Inverness CT
87%
Draw or Inverness CT
94%

Winning margin

Clachnacuddin wins by 2+
1%
Inverness CT wins by 2+
60%

Team goals

Clachnacuddin 1+ goals
47%
Clachnacuddin 2+ goals
13%
Clachnacuddin 3+ goals
3%
Inverness CT 1+ goals
93%
Inverness CT 2+ goals
75%
Inverness CT 3+ goals
50%

Draw no bet

Clachnacuddin (draw refunded)
7%
Inverness CT (draw refunded)
93%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clachnacuddin at home — creates 0.25, concedes 3.00 · 4 matches

Inverness CT away — creates 2.43, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clachnacuddin attack 0.25 + Inverness CT defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.63

Inverness CT attack 2.43 + Clachnacuddin defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 81%?"

Clachnacuddin scores more
6%
level
13%
Inverness CT scores more
81%

Inverness CT at 81% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 81% does not mean "Inverness CT will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Clachnacuddin vs Inverness CT

Inverness CT beat Clachnacuddin 5-0 in Friendlies Clubs on June 23, 2021.

The match was played at Grant Street Park in Inverness.