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CIVO United vs Silver Strikers — Super League 2026

CIVO United
CIVO United
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
6/30/2024Super LeagueSuper League · Round 9CIVO Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

CIVO United36%
×Draw33%
Silver Strikers32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CIVO United
0.95
Silver Strikers
0.88

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 79 home / 84 away

creates per match

CIVO United
1.20
Silver Strikers
1.17

allows per match

CIVO United
0.59
Silver Strikers
0.70

finishing

CIVO United+0.00on par
Silver Strikers+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Under
  • Under72
  • Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CIVO United ↓

Silver Strikers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–114%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (16%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
55%45%2.5
28%72%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

CIVO United or draw
68%
CIVO United or Silver Strikers
67%
Draw or Silver Strikers
64%

Winning margin

CIVO United wins by 2+
13%
Silver Strikers wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

CIVO United 1+ goals
61%
CIVO United 2+ goals
25%
CIVO United 3+ goals
7%
Silver Strikers 1+ goals
59%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
22%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

CIVO United (draw refunded)
53%
Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CIVO United at home — creates 1.20, concedes 0.59 · 79 matches

Silver Strikers away — creates 1.17, concedes 0.70 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CIVO United attack 1.20 + Silver Strikers defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 0.95

Silver Strikers attack 1.17 + CIVO United defence 0.59 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

CIVO United scores more
36%
level
33%
Silver Strikers scores more
32%

CIVO United at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "CIVO United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: CIVO United vs Silver Strikers

Silver Strikers beat CIVO United 2-0 in Super League on June 30, 2024.

The match was played at CIVO Stadium in Lilongwe.