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Chrobry Głogów vs Miedz Legnica — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
FT
2 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Miedz Legnica
Miedz Legnica
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion GOS

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Chrobry Głogów62%
×Draw20%
Miedz Legnica18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Chrobry Głogów
2.19
Miedz Legnica
1.08

Chrobry Głogów creates 103% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 9 away

creates per match

Chrobry Głogów
1.94
Miedz Legnica
1.11

allows per match

Chrobry Głogów
1.06
Miedz Legnica
2.44

finishing

Chrobry Głogów+0.00on par
Miedz Legnica+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chrobry Głogów ↓

Miedz Legnica →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Chrobry Głogów or draw
82%
Chrobry Głogów or Miedz Legnica
80%
Draw or Miedz Legnica
38%

Winning margin

Chrobry Głogów wins by 2+
39%
Miedz Legnica wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Chrobry Głogów 1+ goals
89%
Chrobry Głogów 2+ goals
64%
Chrobry Głogów 3+ goals
37%
Miedz Legnica 1+ goals
66%
Miedz Legnica 2+ goals
29%
Miedz Legnica 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Chrobry Głogów (draw refunded)
78%
Miedz Legnica (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chrobry Głogów at home — creates 1.94, concedes 1.06 · 18 matches

Miedz Legnica away — creates 1.11, concedes 2.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chrobry Głogów attack 1.94 + Miedz Legnica defence 2.44 → ÷2 → 2.19

Miedz Legnica attack 1.11 + Chrobry Głogów defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Chrobry Głogów scores more
62%
level
20%
Miedz Legnica scores more
18%

Chrobry Głogów at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Chrobry Głogów will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Chrobry Głogów 2–1 Miedz Legnica

Chrobry Głogów beat Miedz Legnica 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion GOS in Głogów.