Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Chicken Inn vs Dynamos — Premier Soccer League 2026

Chicken Inn
Chicken Inn
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Dynamos
Dynamos
7/27/2025Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 23Luveve Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 95+ matches

Chicken Inn38%
×Draw34%
Dynamos29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Chicken Inn
0.94
Dynamos
0.78

Chicken Inn creates 21% more chances

Season form · 96 home / 95 away

creates per match

Chicken Inn
1.11
Dynamos
0.91

allows per match

Chicken Inn
0.65
Dynamos
0.77

finishing

Chicken Inn+0.00on par
Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Under
  • Under75
  • Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chicken Inn ↓

Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–018%
0–114%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–16%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (18%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
51%49%2.5
25%75%3.5
10%90%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Chicken Inn or draw
71%
Chicken Inn or Dynamos
66%
Draw or Dynamos
62%

Winning margin

Chicken Inn wins by 2+
14%
Dynamos wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Chicken Inn 1+ goals
61%
Chicken Inn 2+ goals
24%
Chicken Inn 3+ goals
7%
Dynamos 1+ goals
54%
Dynamos 2+ goals
18%
Dynamos 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Chicken Inn (draw refunded)
57%
Dynamos (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chicken Inn at home — creates 1.11, concedes 0.65 · 96 matches

Dynamos away — creates 0.91, concedes 0.77 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chicken Inn attack 1.11 + Dynamos defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 0.94

Dynamos attack 0.91 + Chicken Inn defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Chicken Inn scores more
38%
level
34%
Dynamos scores more
29%

Chicken Inn at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Chicken Inn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Chicken Inn vs Dynamos

Chicken Inn beat Dynamos 3-0 in Premier Soccer League on July 27, 2025.

The match was played at Luveve Stadium in Bulawayo.