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Chicken Inn vs Cranborne Bullets — Premier Soccer League 2026

Chicken Inn
Chicken Inn
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Cranborne Bullets
Cranborne Bullets
8/26/2023Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 20Luveve Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Chicken Inn49%
×Draw30%
Cranborne Bullets21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Chicken Inn
1.22
Cranborne Bullets
0.68

Chicken Inn creates 79% more chances

Season form · 96 home / 34 away

creates per match

Chicken Inn
1.11
Cranborne Bullets
0.71

allows per match

Chicken Inn
0.65
Cranborne Bullets
1.32

finishing

Chicken Inn+0.00on par
Cranborne Bullets+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chicken Inn ↓

Cranborne Bullets →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–110%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Chicken Inn or draw
79%
Chicken Inn or Cranborne Bullets
70%
Draw or Cranborne Bullets
51%

Winning margin

Chicken Inn wins by 2+
22%
Cranborne Bullets wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Chicken Inn 1+ goals
70%
Chicken Inn 2+ goals
34%
Chicken Inn 3+ goals
12%
Cranborne Bullets 1+ goals
49%
Cranborne Bullets 2+ goals
15%
Cranborne Bullets 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Chicken Inn (draw refunded)
70%
Cranborne Bullets (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chicken Inn at home — creates 1.11, concedes 0.65 · 96 matches

Cranborne Bullets away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.32 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chicken Inn attack 1.11 + Cranborne Bullets defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.22

Cranborne Bullets attack 0.71 + Chicken Inn defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Chicken Inn scores more
49%
level
30%
Cranborne Bullets scores more
21%

Chicken Inn at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Chicken Inn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Chicken Inn 0–0 Cranborne Bullets

Chicken Inn and Cranborne Bullets drew 0-0 in Premier Soccer League on August 26, 2023.

The match was played at Luveve Stadium in Bulawayo.