Chesterfield 0–0 Sheffield Utd: Result & Stats

Chesterfield

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sheffield Utd

7/11/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Chesterfield18%

×Draw30%

Sheffield Utd52%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ChesterfieldExpected goals in this matchSheffield Utd

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.62

1.27

Chesterfield

0.62

Sheffield Utd

1.27

Sheffield Utd creates 105% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 7 away

0.67

creates per match

1.86

0.67

allows per match

0.57

creates per match

Chesterfield

0.67

Sheffield Utd

1.86

allows per match

Chesterfield

0.67

Sheffield Utd

0.57

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Chesterfield+0.00on par

Sheffield Utd+0.00on par

Total goals

Under71
Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No67
Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chesterfield ↓

Sheffield Utd →

0–015%

0–119%

0–212%

0–35%

0–42%

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2–03%

2–14%

2–22%

2–31%

2–40%

3–01%

3–11%

3–20%

3–30%

3–40%

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

85%15%1.5

56%44%2.5

29%71%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Chesterfield or draw

48%

Chesterfield or Sheffield Utd

70%

Draw or Sheffield Utd

82%

Winning margin

Chesterfield wins by 2+

Sheffield Utd wins by 2+

24%

Team goals

Chesterfield 1+ goals

46%

Chesterfield 2+ goals

13%

Chesterfield 3+ goals

Sheffield Utd 1+ goals

72%

Sheffield Utd 2+ goals

36%

Sheffield Utd 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Chesterfield (draw refunded)

26%

Sheffield Utd (draw refunded)

74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Chesterfield at home — creates 0.67, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

Sheffield Utd away — creates 1.86, concedes 0.57 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Chesterfield attack 0.67 + Sheffield Utd defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.62

Sheffield Utd attack 1.86 + Chesterfield defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 52%?"

Chesterfield scores more

18%

level

30%

Sheffield Utd scores more

52%

Sheffield Utd at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Sheffield Utd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

24'

F. Seriki

46'

Trialist← J. Koroma

46'

C. O'Hare← R. Donovan

60'

R. Boot← Z. Hemming

60'

C. Dunkley← J. Eccleston

60'

A. Whitney← A. Pond

60'

L. Mandeville← G. McEachran

60'

L. Butterfield← L. Bonis

60'

J. Wozniczka← D. Markanday

60'

Trialist← J. Simpson

60'

R. Sotiriou← L. Gordon

60'

G. Elliott← T. Naylor

60'

T. Campbell← H. Burrows

60'

S. Peck← O. Arblaster

60'

H. McGlinchey← J. Rothwell

60'

L. Marsh← G. Hamer

60'

S. McCallum← T. Cannon

60'

J. Riedewald← P. Bamford

70'

M. McGuinness← J. Tanganga

78'

Trialist

80'

S. Sachdev← F. Seriki

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff