Chelyabinsk 0–0 Enisey: Result & Stats

Chelyabinsk

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Enisey

10/6/2025

First League · Round 13Central Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Chelyabinsk50%

×Draw25%

Enisey25%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ChelyabinskExpected goals in this matchEnisey

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.61

1.06

Chelyabinsk

1.61

Enisey

1.06

Chelyabinsk creates 52% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 124 away

1.78

creates per match

1.02

1.11

allows per match

1.44

creates per match

Chelyabinsk

1.78

Enisey

1.02

allows per match

Chelyabinsk

1.11

Enisey

1.44

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Chelyabinsk+0.00on par

Enisey+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chelyabinsk ↓

Enisey →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Chelyabinsk or draw

75%

Chelyabinsk or Enisey

75%

Draw or Enisey

50%

Winning margin

Chelyabinsk wins by 2+

26%

Enisey wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Chelyabinsk 1+ goals

80%

Chelyabinsk 2+ goals

48%

Chelyabinsk 3+ goals

22%

Enisey 1+ goals

65%

Enisey 2+ goals

29%

Enisey 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Chelyabinsk (draw refunded)

67%

Enisey (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chelyabinsk at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.11 · 18 matches

Enisey away — creates 1.02, concedes 1.44 · 124 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chelyabinsk attack 1.78 + Enisey defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.61

Enisey attack 1.02 + Chelyabinsk defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Chelyabinsk scores more

50%

level

25%

Enisey scores more

25%

Chelyabinsk at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Chelyabinsk will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'

Astemir Khashkulov

40'

M. Urvantsev← D. Pushkarev

46'

A. Nosov← A. Gapechkin

68'

T. Komissarov← W. Eza

70'

Yan Tses

78'

R. Ogienko← A. Khashkulov

78'

A. Okladnikov← A. Pogosov

80'

A. Kanaplin← A. Nadolskiy

86'

Aleksandr Kanaplin

Statistics

ChelyabinskEnisey

Discipline

0Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards0