Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven — USL Championship 2026

Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery
FT
5 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven
8/2/2024USL ChampionshipUSL Championship · Round 25Patriots Point

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 130+ matches

Charleston Battery51%
×Draw24%
Indy Eleven25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Charleston Battery
1.73
Indy Eleven
1.14

Charleston Battery creates 52% more chances

Season form · 137 home / 130 away

creates per match

Charleston Battery
1.89
Indy Eleven
1.12

allows per match

Charleston Battery
1.15
Indy Eleven
1.58

finishing

Charleston Battery+0.00on par
Indy Eleven+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Charleston Battery ↓

Indy Eleven →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Charleston Battery or draw
75%
Charleston Battery or Indy Eleven
76%
Draw or Indy Eleven
49%

Winning margin

Charleston Battery wins by 2+
28%
Indy Eleven wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Charleston Battery 1+ goals
82%
Charleston Battery 2+ goals
52%
Charleston Battery 3+ goals
25%
Indy Eleven 1+ goals
68%
Indy Eleven 2+ goals
32%
Indy Eleven 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Charleston Battery (draw refunded)
67%
Indy Eleven (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Charleston Battery at home — creates 1.89, concedes 1.15 · 137 matches

Indy Eleven away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.58 · 130 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Charleston Battery attack 1.89 + Indy Eleven defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.73

Indy Eleven attack 1.12 + Charleston Battery defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Charleston Battery scores more
51%
level
24%
Indy Eleven scores more
25%

Charleston Battery at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Charleston Battery will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

USL Championship: Charleston Battery 5–0 Indy Eleven

Charleston Battery beat Indy Eleven 5-0 in USL Championship on August 2, 2024.

The match was played at Patriots Point in Mount Pleasant, South Carolina.