Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

České Budějovice vs Dinamo Moscow — Friendlies Clubs 2026

České Budějovice
České Budějovice
FT
0 – 4
Dinamo Moscow
Dinamo Moscow
6/30/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Holzhaider-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

České Budějovice41%
×Draw22%
Dinamo Moscow37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

České Budějovice
1.85
Dinamo Moscow
1.73

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 12 home / 11 away

creates per match

České Budějovice
2.25
Dinamo Moscow
1.45

allows per match

České Budějovice
2.00
Dinamo Moscow
1.45

finishing

České Budějovice+0.00on par
Dinamo Moscow+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

České Budějovice ↓

Dinamo Moscow →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

České Budějovice or draw
63%
České Budějovice or Dinamo Moscow
78%
Draw or Dinamo Moscow
59%

Winning margin

České Budějovice wins by 2+
22%
Dinamo Moscow wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

České Budějovice 1+ goals
84%
České Budějovice 2+ goals
55%
České Budějovice 3+ goals
28%
Dinamo Moscow 1+ goals
82%
Dinamo Moscow 2+ goals
52%
Dinamo Moscow 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

České Budějovice (draw refunded)
53%
Dinamo Moscow (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

České Budějovice at home — creates 2.25, concedes 2.00 · 12 matches

Dinamo Moscow away — creates 1.45, concedes 1.45 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

České Budějovice attack 2.25 + Dinamo Moscow defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.85

Dinamo Moscow attack 1.45 + České Budějovice defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

České Budějovice scores more
41%
level
22%
Dinamo Moscow scores more
37%

České Budějovice at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "České Budějovice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: České Budějovice vs Dinamo Moscow

Dinamo Moscow beat České Budějovice 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on June 30, 2021.

The match was played at Holzhaider-Stadion in Freistadt.