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České Budějovice II vs Sokol Hostouň — 3. liga - CFL A 2019

České Budějovice II
České Budějovice II
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Sokol Hostouň
Sokol Hostouň
5/6/20263. liga - CFL A3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 33SCM Sloziste

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

České Budějovice II50%
×Draw23%
Sokol Hostouň27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

České Budějovice II
1.79
Sokol Hostouň
1.27

České Budějovice II creates 41% more chances

Season form · 61 home / 87 away

creates per match

České Budějovice II
1.75
Sokol Hostouň
1.03

allows per match

České Budějovice II
1.52
Sokol Hostouň
1.82

finishing

České Budějovice II+0.00on par
Sokol Hostouň+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

České Budějovice II ↓

Sokol Hostouň →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

České Budějovice II or draw
73%
České Budějovice II or Sokol Hostouň
77%
Draw or Sokol Hostouň
50%

Winning margin

České Budějovice II wins by 2+
27%
Sokol Hostouň wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

České Budějovice II 1+ goals
83%
České Budějovice II 2+ goals
53%
České Budějovice II 3+ goals
26%
Sokol Hostouň 1+ goals
72%
Sokol Hostouň 2+ goals
36%
Sokol Hostouň 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

České Budějovice II (draw refunded)
65%
Sokol Hostouň (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

České Budějovice II at home — creates 1.75, concedes 1.52 · 61 matches

Sokol Hostouň away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.82 · 87 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

České Budějovice II attack 1.75 + Sokol Hostouň defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.79

Sokol Hostouň attack 1.03 + České Budějovice II defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

České Budějovice II scores more
50%
level
23%
Sokol Hostouň scores more
27%

České Budějovice II at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "České Budějovice II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - CFL A: České Budějovice II 0–0 Sokol Hostouň

České Budějovice II and Sokol Hostouň drew 0-0 in 3. liga - CFL A on May 6, 2026.

The match was played at SCM Sloziste.