Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 Platense

Central Cordoba de Santiago

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Platense

5/4/2019

Primera Nacional · Promotion Play-offs - Quarter-finalsEstadio Alfredo Terrera (Santiago del Estero, Provincia de Santiago del Est)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Central Cordoba de Santiago33%

×Draw29%

Platense38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Central Cordoba de SantiagoExpected goals in this matchPlatense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.04

1.15

Central Cordoba de Santiago

1.04

Platense

1.15

Platense creates 11% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 24 away

1.08

creates per match

1.29

1.00

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago

1.08

Platense

1.29

allows per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago

1.00

Platense

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Central Cordoba de Santiago+0.00on par

Platense+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Central Cordoba de Santiago ↓

Platense →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–113%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–17%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Central Cordoba de Santiago or draw

62%

Central Cordoba de Santiago or Platense

71%

Draw or Platense

67%

Winning margin

Central Cordoba de Santiago wins by 2+

13%

Platense wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Central Cordoba de Santiago 1+ goals

65%

Central Cordoba de Santiago 2+ goals

28%

Central Cordoba de Santiago 3+ goals

9%

Platense 1+ goals

68%

Platense 2+ goals

32%

Platense 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Central Cordoba de Santiago (draw refunded)

46%

Platense (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Central Cordoba de Santiago at home — creates 1.08, concedes 1.00 · 12 matches

Platense away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.00 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 1.08 + Platense defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.04

Platense attack 1.29 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Central Cordoba de Santiago scores more

33%

level

29%

Platense scores more

38%

Platense at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Platense will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

P. Ortega← L. Robles

59'

A. Ramírez← S. Gallucci

62'

63'

68'

68'

76'

R. De Ciancio← D. Tonetto

82'

H. Lamberti

87'

E. Gallegos← M. Vega

89'

E. Gallegos

Central

Platense

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: G. Coleoni

46'▲P. Ortega←▼L. Robles

59'▲A. Ramírez←▼S. Gallucci

68'▲M. Sánchez←▼D. Jara

Central Cordoba de Santiago substitutes

OrtegaRamírezSánchezPiñeroCavallottiBarrionuevoIzaguirre

Manager: F. Ruiz

62'▲D. Vega←▼F. Curuchet

76'▲R. De Ciancio←▼D. Tonetto

87'▲E. Gallegos←▼M. Vega

Platense substitutes

VegaCiancioGallegosDesábatoBocchinoPuglieseBustos

Match Recap: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Platense

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Platense drew 0-0 in Primera Nacional on May 4, 2019.

The match was played at Estadio Alfredo Terrera (Santiago del Estero, Provincia de Santiago del Est).

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Platense — Primera Nacional 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Platense