Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Celtic II vs Linlithgow Rose — League #731 2026

Celtic II
Celtic II
FT
1 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
Linlithgow Rose
Linlithgow Rose
4/7/2026League #731League #731 · Lowland League - 18Albert Bartlett Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Celtic II44%
×Draw24%
Linlithgow Rose32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Celtic II
1.71
Linlithgow Rose
1.42

Celtic II creates 20% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 12 away

creates per match

Celtic II
2.33
Linlithgow Rose
1.83

allows per match

Celtic II
1.00
Linlithgow Rose
1.08

finishing

Celtic II+0.00on par
Linlithgow Rose+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Celtic II ↓

Linlithgow Rose →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Celtic II or draw
68%
Celtic II or Linlithgow Rose
76%
Draw or Linlithgow Rose
56%

Winning margin

Celtic II wins by 2+
23%
Linlithgow Rose wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Celtic II 1+ goals
82%
Celtic II 2+ goals
51%
Celtic II 3+ goals
24%
Linlithgow Rose 1+ goals
76%
Linlithgow Rose 2+ goals
41%
Linlithgow Rose 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Celtic II (draw refunded)
58%
Linlithgow Rose (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Celtic II at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Linlithgow Rose away — creates 1.83, concedes 1.08 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Celtic II attack 2.33 + Linlithgow Rose defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.71

Linlithgow Rose attack 1.83 + Celtic II defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Celtic II scores more
44%
level
24%
Linlithgow Rose scores more
32%

Celtic II at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Celtic II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Celtic II vs Linlithgow Rose

Linlithgow Rose beat Celtic II 3-1 in League #731 on April 7, 2026.

The match was played at Albert Bartlett Stadium in Airdrie.