Scoreo

Čáslav vs Slovan Bratislava IIFriendlies Clubs 2026

Čáslav
Čáslav
FT
14
HT: 02
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Unknown 75'
Unknown 71', 54', 36', 32'

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Čáslav26%
×Draw19%
Slovan Bratislava II55%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Čáslav
1.75
Slovan Bratislava II
2.57

Slovan Bratislava II creates 47% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 8 away

creates per match

Čáslav
1.86
Slovan Bratislava II
2.00

allows per match

Čáslav
3.14
Slovan Bratislava II
1.63

finishing

Čáslav+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Čáslav

Slovan Bratislava II
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
013%
024%
034%
042%
1
102%
116%
128%
137%
144%
2
202%
215%
227%
236%
244%
3
301%
313%
324%
333%
342%
4
401%
411%
422%
431%
441%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Čáslav or draw
45%
Čáslav or Slovan Bratislava II
81%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava II
74%

Winning margin

Čáslav wins by 2+
12%
Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
35%

Team goals

Čáslav 1+ goals
83%
Čáslav 2+ goals
52%
Čáslav 3+ goals
25%
Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
92%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
72%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
47%

Draw no bet

Čáslav (draw refunded)
32%
Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
70%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Čáslav at homecreates 1.86, concedes 3.14 · 7 matches

Slovan Bratislava II awaycreates 2.00, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Čáslav attack 1.86 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.75

Slovan Bratislava II attack 2.00 + Čáslav defence 3.14 → ÷2 → 2.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Čáslav scores more
26%
level
19%
Slovan Bratislava II scores more
55%

Slovan Bratislava II at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

32'
36'
54'
71'
75'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Čáslav 1–4 Slovan Bratislava II

Slovan Bratislava II beat Čáslav 4-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 29, 2026.

Goals: ? (32', 36', 54', 71', 75').