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Carlos A. Mannucci vs Sport Boys — Primera División 2026

Carlos A. Mannucci
Carlos A. Mannucci
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Sport Boys
Sport Boys
7/23/2023Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Clausura - 5Estadio Mansiche

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 99+ matches

Carlos A. Mannucci46%
×Draw26%
Sport Boys27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Carlos A. Mannucci
1.45
Sport Boys
1.05

Carlos A. Mannucci creates 38% more chances

Season form · 99 home / 145 away

creates per match

Carlos A. Mannucci
1.13
Sport Boys
0.86

allows per match

Carlos A. Mannucci
1.24
Sport Boys
1.77

finishing

Carlos A. Mannucci+0.00on par
Sport Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Carlos A. Mannucci ↓

Sport Boys →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Carlos A. Mannucci or draw
73%
Carlos A. Mannucci or Sport Boys
74%
Draw or Sport Boys
54%

Winning margin

Carlos A. Mannucci wins by 2+
23%
Sport Boys wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Carlos A. Mannucci 1+ goals
77%
Carlos A. Mannucci 2+ goals
42%
Carlos A. Mannucci 3+ goals
18%
Sport Boys 1+ goals
65%
Sport Boys 2+ goals
28%
Sport Boys 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Carlos A. Mannucci (draw refunded)
63%
Sport Boys (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Carlos A. Mannucci at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.24 · 99 matches

Sport Boys away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.77 · 145 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Carlos A. Mannucci attack 1.13 + Sport Boys defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.45

Sport Boys attack 0.86 + Carlos A. Mannucci defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Carlos A. Mannucci scores more
46%
level
26%
Sport Boys scores more
27%

Carlos A. Mannucci at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Carlos A. Mannucci will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Carlos A. Mannucci vs Sport Boys

Carlos A. Mannucci and Sport Boys drew 0-0 in Primera División on July 23, 2023.

The match was played at Estadio Mansiche in Trujillo.