Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Carl Zeiss Jena vs FC Schweinfurt 05 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Carl Zeiss Jena
Carl Zeiss Jena
CANC
13:00
FC Schweinfurt 05
FC Schweinfurt 05
1/21/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Carl Zeiss Jena61%
×Draw18%
FC Schweinfurt 0521%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Carl Zeiss Jena
2.67
FC Schweinfurt 05
1.54

Carl Zeiss Jena creates 73% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 10 away

creates per match

Carl Zeiss Jena
2.73
FC Schweinfurt 05
1.60

allows per match

Carl Zeiss Jena
1.47
FC Schweinfurt 05
2.60

finishing

Carl Zeiss Jena+0.00on par
FC Schweinfurt 05+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Carl Zeiss Jena ↓

FC Schweinfurt 05 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–16%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Carl Zeiss Jena or draw
79%
Carl Zeiss Jena or FC Schweinfurt 05
82%
Draw or FC Schweinfurt 05
39%

Winning margin

Carl Zeiss Jena wins by 2+
40%
FC Schweinfurt 05 wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Carl Zeiss Jena 1+ goals
93%
Carl Zeiss Jena 2+ goals
74%
Carl Zeiss Jena 3+ goals
49%
FC Schweinfurt 05 1+ goals
79%
FC Schweinfurt 05 2+ goals
45%
FC Schweinfurt 05 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Carl Zeiss Jena (draw refunded)
74%
FC Schweinfurt 05 (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Carl Zeiss Jena at home — creates 2.73, concedes 1.47 · 15 matches

FC Schweinfurt 05 away — creates 1.60, concedes 2.60 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Carl Zeiss Jena attack 2.73 + FC Schweinfurt 05 defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 2.67

FC Schweinfurt 05 attack 1.60 + Carl Zeiss Jena defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Carl Zeiss Jena scores more
61%
level
18%
FC Schweinfurt 05 scores more
21%

Carl Zeiss Jena at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Carl Zeiss Jena will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Carl Zeiss Jena face FC Schweinfurt 05 (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Carl Zeiss Jena hosting FC Schweinfurt 05. Match starts January 21, 2023. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Carl Zeiss Jena host FC Schweinfurt 05 at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.