Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Canterbury Bankstown vs Northern Tigers — New South Wales NPL 2 2026

Canterbury Bankstown
Canterbury Bankstown
FT
2 – 1
Northern Tigers
Northern Tigers
6/15/2024New South Wales NPL 2New South Wales NPL 2 · Round 20Jensen Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Canterbury Bankstown38%
×Draw24%
Northern Tigers38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Canterbury Bankstown
1.56
Northern Tigers
1.57

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 56 home / 77 away

creates per match

Canterbury Bankstown
1.71
Northern Tigers
1.73

allows per match

Canterbury Bankstown
1.41
Northern Tigers
1.42

finishing

Canterbury Bankstown+0.00on par
Northern Tigers+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Canterbury Bankstown ↓

Northern Tigers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Canterbury Bankstown or draw
62%
Canterbury Bankstown or Northern Tigers
76%
Draw or Northern Tigers
62%

Winning margin

Canterbury Bankstown wins by 2+
18%
Northern Tigers wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Canterbury Bankstown 1+ goals
79%
Canterbury Bankstown 2+ goals
46%
Canterbury Bankstown 3+ goals
21%
Northern Tigers 1+ goals
79%
Northern Tigers 2+ goals
46%
Northern Tigers 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Canterbury Bankstown (draw refunded)
50%
Northern Tigers (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Canterbury Bankstown at home — creates 1.71, concedes 1.41 · 56 matches

Northern Tigers away — creates 1.73, concedes 1.42 · 77 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Canterbury Bankstown attack 1.71 + Northern Tigers defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.56

Northern Tigers attack 1.73 + Canterbury Bankstown defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Canterbury Bankstown scores more
38%
level
24%
Northern Tigers scores more
38%

Canterbury Bankstown at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Canterbury Bankstown will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Canterbury Bankstown 2 – 1 Northern Tigers

Canterbury Bankstown beat Northern Tigers 2-1 in New South Wales NPL 2 on June 15, 2024.

The match was played at Jensen Park in Sydney.