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Çankaya FK vs Kartal Bulvarspor — League #552 2026

Çankaya FK
Çankaya FK
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Kartal Bulvarspor
Kartal Bulvarspor
E. Kocakahya 66' (OG)
S. Ilgaz 25'
M. Kurt 46'
10/18/2025League #552League #552 · Group 1 - 7Osmanlı Stadı

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Çankaya FK59%
×Draw21%
Kartal Bulvarspor20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Çankaya FK
2.04
Kartal Bulvarspor
1.10

Çankaya FK creates 85% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 3 away

creates per match

Çankaya FK
1.42
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.67

allows per match

Çankaya FK
1.53
Kartal Bulvarspor
2.67

finishing

Çankaya FK+0.00on par
Kartal Bulvarspor+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Çankaya FK ↓

Kartal Bulvarspor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Çankaya FK or draw
80%
Çankaya FK or Kartal Bulvarspor
79%
Draw or Kartal Bulvarspor
41%

Winning margin

Çankaya FK wins by 2+
36%
Kartal Bulvarspor wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Çankaya FK 1+ goals
87%
Çankaya FK 2+ goals
60%
Çankaya FK 3+ goals
33%
Kartal Bulvarspor 1+ goals
67%
Kartal Bulvarspor 2+ goals
30%
Kartal Bulvarspor 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Çankaya FK (draw refunded)
75%
Kartal Bulvarspor (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Çankaya FK at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.53 · 19 matches

Kartal Bulvarspor away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Çankaya FK attack 1.42 + Kartal Bulvarspor defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.04

Kartal Bulvarspor attack 0.67 + Çankaya FK defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Çankaya FK scores more
59%
level
21%
Kartal Bulvarspor scores more
20%

Çankaya FK at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Çankaya FK will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'
S. Ilgaz↳ B. Biyik
46'
M. Kurt↳ M. Dogan
66'
E. KocakahyaOwn goal

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Çankaya FK 2 – 1 Kartal Bulvarspor

Çankaya FK beat Kartal Bulvarspor 2-1 in League #552 on October 18, 2025.

Goals: S. Ilgaz (25'), M. Kurt (46'), E. Kocakahya (66' o.g.).

The match was played at Osmanlı Stadı in Ankara.