Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
55%
Over
45%
Under
Both Score
57%
Yes
43%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
1-2
10%
0-1
9%
xG Profile (19 home / 20 away matches)
Burnley
xG 0.99 · xGA 1.92
-0.04 vs xG
Brighton
xG 1.49 · xGA 1.4
-0.24 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Apr 11, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Premier League · Regular Season - 32
- Referee
- T. Bramall
- Venue
- Turf Moor, Burnley
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Burnley
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51950%
- Under 2.51950%
Both teams scored
- Yes2258%
- No1642%
Brighton
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52551%
- Under 2.52449%
Both teams scored
- Yes2449%
- No2551%
Match Events
Head to Head
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Brentford
Brighton
Chelsea
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Everton
Fulham
Hull City
Ipswich
Leeds
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
TottenhamIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Burnley host Brighton on Saturday, 11 April 2026 at 14:00. The match is part of the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Burnley vs Brighton
Brighton beat Burnley 2-0 in Premier League on April 11, 2026.
Goals: M. Wieffer (43', 89').
Burnley controlled possession (50%) and registered 10 shots to 13.
The match was played at Turf Moor in Burnley.