Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Buñol vs Vall de Uxó — Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 2019

Buñol
Buñol
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Vall de Uxó
Vall de Uxó
9/7/2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Group 6 - 1Campo de Fútbol Beltrán Báguena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Buñol43%
×Draw31%
Vall de Uxó26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Buñol
1.10
Vall de Uxó
0.78

Buñol creates 41% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 34 away

creates per match

Buñol
1.00
Vall de Uxó
0.85

allows per match

Buñol
0.71
Vall de Uxó
1.21

finishing

Buñol+0.00on par
Vall de Uxó+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Buñol ↓

Vall de Uxó →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
56%44%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Buñol or draw
74%
Buñol or Vall de Uxó
69%
Draw or Vall de Uxó
57%

Winning margin

Buñol wins by 2+
18%
Vall de Uxó wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Buñol 1+ goals
67%
Buñol 2+ goals
30%
Buñol 3+ goals
10%
Vall de Uxó 1+ goals
54%
Vall de Uxó 2+ goals
18%
Vall de Uxó 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Buñol (draw refunded)
62%
Vall de Uxó (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Buñol at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.71 · 17 matches

Vall de Uxó away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.21 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Buñol attack 1.00 + Vall de Uxó defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.10

Vall de Uxó attack 0.85 + Buñol defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Buñol scores more
43%
level
31%
Vall de Uxó scores more
26%

Buñol at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Buñol will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Buñol vs Vall de Uxó

Buñol and Vall de Uxó drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on September 7, 2025.

The match was played at Campo de Fútbol Beltrán Báguena in Buñol.