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Bulawayo City vs Ngezi Platinum — Premier Soccer League 2026

Bulawayo City
Bulawayo City
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 0
Ngezi Platinum
Ngezi Platinum
6/25/2022Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 18Barbourfields Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Bulawayo City28%
×Draw32%
Ngezi Platinum40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bulawayo City
0.84
Ngezi Platinum
1.06

Ngezi Platinum creates 26% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 96 away

creates per match

Bulawayo City
0.88
Ngezi Platinum
0.88

allows per match

Bulawayo City
1.24
Ngezi Platinum
0.80

finishing

Bulawayo City+0.00on par
Ngezi Platinum+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bulawayo City ↓

Ngezi Platinum →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–116%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Bulawayo City or draw
60%
Bulawayo City or Ngezi Platinum
68%
Draw or Ngezi Platinum
72%

Winning margin

Bulawayo City wins by 2+
9%
Ngezi Platinum wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Bulawayo City 1+ goals
57%
Bulawayo City 2+ goals
21%
Bulawayo City 3+ goals
5%
Ngezi Platinum 1+ goals
65%
Ngezi Platinum 2+ goals
29%
Ngezi Platinum 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Bulawayo City (draw refunded)
41%
Ngezi Platinum (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bulawayo City at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.24 · 17 matches

Ngezi Platinum away — creates 0.88, concedes 0.80 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bulawayo City attack 0.88 + Ngezi Platinum defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.84

Ngezi Platinum attack 0.88 + Bulawayo City defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Bulawayo City scores more
28%
level
32%
Ngezi Platinum scores more
40%

Ngezi Platinum at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Ngezi Platinum will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Bulawayo City 0–3 Ngezi Platinum

Ngezi Platinum beat Bulawayo City 3-0 in Premier Soccer League on June 25, 2022.

The match was played at Barbourfields Stadium in Bulawayo.