Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bulawayo Chiefs vs Bulawayo City — Premier Soccer League 2026

Bulawayo Chiefs
Bulawayo Chiefs
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Bulawayo City
Bulawayo City
10/8/2022Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 30Luveve Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Bulawayo Chiefs45%
×Draw33%
Bulawayo City22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bulawayo Chiefs
1.07
Bulawayo City
0.64

Bulawayo Chiefs creates 67% more chances

Season form · 80 home / 16 away

creates per match

Bulawayo Chiefs
1.02
Bulawayo City
0.38

allows per match

Bulawayo Chiefs
0.89
Bulawayo City
1.13

finishing

Bulawayo Chiefs+0.00on par
Bulawayo City+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Under
  • Under75
  • Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bulawayo Chiefs ↓

Bulawayo City →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–018%
0–112%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–019%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
51%49%2.5
25%75%3.5
9%91%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Bulawayo Chiefs or draw
78%
Bulawayo Chiefs or Bulawayo City
67%
Draw or Bulawayo City
55%

Winning margin

Bulawayo Chiefs wins by 2+
19%
Bulawayo City wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Bulawayo Chiefs 1+ goals
66%
Bulawayo Chiefs 2+ goals
29%
Bulawayo Chiefs 3+ goals
9%
Bulawayo City 1+ goals
47%
Bulawayo City 2+ goals
14%
Bulawayo City 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Bulawayo Chiefs (draw refunded)
68%
Bulawayo City (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bulawayo Chiefs at home — creates 1.02, concedes 0.89 · 80 matches

Bulawayo City away — creates 0.38, concedes 1.13 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bulawayo Chiefs attack 1.02 + Bulawayo City defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.07

Bulawayo City attack 0.38 + Bulawayo Chiefs defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Bulawayo Chiefs scores more
45%
level
33%
Bulawayo City scores more
22%

Bulawayo Chiefs at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Bulawayo Chiefs will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Bulawayo Chiefs 0–1 Bulawayo City

Bulawayo City beat Bulawayo Chiefs 1-0 in Premier Soccer League on October 8, 2022.

The match was played at Luveve Stadium in Bulawayo.