Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bulawayo Chiefs vs Black Rhinos — Premier Soccer League 2026

Bulawayo Chiefs
Bulawayo Chiefs
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Black Rhinos
Black Rhinos
9/4/2022Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 26Luveve Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Bulawayo Chiefs41%
×Draw32%
Black Rhinos27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bulawayo Chiefs
1.03
Black Rhinos
0.78

Bulawayo Chiefs creates 32% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 51 away

creates per match

Bulawayo Chiefs
1.04
Black Rhinos
0.67

allows per match

Bulawayo Chiefs
0.89
Black Rhinos
1.02

finishing

Bulawayo Chiefs+0.00on par
Black Rhinos+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bulawayo Chiefs ↓

Black Rhinos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–113%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
54%46%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Bulawayo Chiefs or draw
73%
Bulawayo Chiefs or Black Rhinos
68%
Draw or Black Rhinos
59%

Winning margin

Bulawayo Chiefs wins by 2+
16%
Black Rhinos wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Bulawayo Chiefs 1+ goals
64%
Bulawayo Chiefs 2+ goals
28%
Bulawayo Chiefs 3+ goals
9%
Black Rhinos 1+ goals
54%
Black Rhinos 2+ goals
18%
Black Rhinos 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Bulawayo Chiefs (draw refunded)
60%
Black Rhinos (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bulawayo Chiefs at home — creates 1.04, concedes 0.89 · 79 matches

Black Rhinos away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.02 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bulawayo Chiefs attack 1.04 + Black Rhinos defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.03

Black Rhinos attack 0.67 + Bulawayo Chiefs defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Bulawayo Chiefs scores more
41%
level
32%
Black Rhinos scores more
27%

Bulawayo Chiefs at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Bulawayo Chiefs will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Bulawayo Chiefs 1–0 Black Rhinos

Bulawayo Chiefs beat Black Rhinos 1-0 in Premier Soccer League on September 4, 2022.

The match was played at Luveve Stadium in Bulawayo.