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Buducnost Podgorica vs Krylya Sovetov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
FT
3 – 2
Krylya Sovetov
Krylya Sovetov
6/26/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Michel Platini

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Buducnost Podgorica51%
×Draw19%
Krylya Sovetov30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Buducnost Podgorica
2.56
Krylya Sovetov
1.98

Buducnost Podgorica creates 29% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Buducnost Podgorica
3.00
Krylya Sovetov
2.63

allows per match

Buducnost Podgorica
1.33
Krylya Sovetov
2.13

finishing

Buducnost Podgorica+0.00on par
Krylya Sovetov+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Buducnost Podgorica ↓

Krylya Sovetov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–25%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
66%34%4.5
46%54%

Double chance

Buducnost Podgorica or draw
70%
Buducnost Podgorica or Krylya Sovetov
81%
Draw or Krylya Sovetov
49%

Winning margin

Buducnost Podgorica wins by 2+
31%
Krylya Sovetov wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Buducnost Podgorica 1+ goals
92%
Buducnost Podgorica 2+ goals
72%
Buducnost Podgorica 3+ goals
46%
Krylya Sovetov 1+ goals
86%
Krylya Sovetov 2+ goals
59%
Krylya Sovetov 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Buducnost Podgorica (draw refunded)
62%
Krylya Sovetov (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
74%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Buducnost Podgorica at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Krylya Sovetov away — creates 2.63, concedes 2.13 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Buducnost Podgorica attack 3.00 + Krylya Sovetov defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.56

Krylya Sovetov attack 2.63 + Buducnost Podgorica defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Buducnost Podgorica scores more
51%
level
19%
Krylya Sovetov scores more
30%

Buducnost Podgorica at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Buducnost Podgorica will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Buducnost Podgorica 3–2 Krylya Sovetov

Buducnost Podgorica beat Krylya Sovetov 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on June 26, 2021.

The match was played at Stadion Michel Platini in Stara Pazova.