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BSC Young Boys vs Dinamo Bucuresti — Friendlies Clubs 2026

BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti
1/7/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

BSC Young Boys47%
×Draw22%
Dinamo Bucuresti31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BSC Young Boys
1.97
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.58

BSC Young Boys creates 25% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 9 away

creates per match

BSC Young Boys
2.50
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.11

allows per match

BSC Young Boys
1.06
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.44

finishing

BSC Young Boys+0.00on par
Dinamo Bucuresti+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BSC Young Boys ↓

Dinamo Bucuresti →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

BSC Young Boys or draw
69%
BSC Young Boys or Dinamo Bucuresti
78%
Draw or Dinamo Bucuresti
53%

Winning margin

BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
26%
Dinamo Bucuresti wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
86%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
58%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
31%
Dinamo Bucuresti 1+ goals
79%
Dinamo Bucuresti 2+ goals
47%
Dinamo Bucuresti 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
60%
Dinamo Bucuresti (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BSC Young Boys at home — creates 2.50, concedes 1.06 · 16 matches

Dinamo Bucuresti away — creates 2.11, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BSC Young Boys attack 2.50 + Dinamo Bucuresti defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.97

Dinamo Bucuresti attack 2.11 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

BSC Young Boys scores more
47%
level
22%
Dinamo Bucuresti scores more
31%

BSC Young Boys at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: BSC Young Boys 0–2 Dinamo Bucuresti

Dinamo Bucuresti beat BSC Young Boys 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 7, 2026.