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Brunei U19 vs Malaysia U19 — AFF U19 Championship 2022

Brunei U19
Brunei U19
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Malaysia U19
Malaysia U19
I. Aswad 90+6'
I. Hafizan 90+3'
S. Arshad 45+3'
L. Hadi 22'
6/5/2026AFF U19 ChampionshipAFF U19 Championship · Group Stage - 2Stadion Teladan

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Brunei U193%
×Draw6%
Malaysia U1991%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brunei U19
0.57
Malaysia U19
3.80

Malaysia U19 creates 567% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 7 away

creates per match

Brunei U19
0.00
Malaysia U19
2.86

allows per match

Brunei U19
4.75
Malaysia U19
1.14

finishing

Brunei U19+0.00on par
Malaysia U19+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brunei U19 ↓

Malaysia U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–15%
0–210%
0–313%
0–412%
1
1–01%
1–13%
1–26%
1–37%
1–47%
2
2–00%
2–11%
2–22%
2–32%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–3 (13%) · grid covers 73% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Brunei U19 or draw
9%
Brunei U19 or Malaysia U19
94%
Draw or Malaysia U19
97%

Winning margin

Brunei U19 wins by 2+
1%
Malaysia U19 wins by 2+
77%

Team goals

Brunei U19 1+ goals
43%
Brunei U19 2+ goals
11%
Brunei U19 3+ goals
2%
Malaysia U19 1+ goals
98%
Malaysia U19 2+ goals
88%
Malaysia U19 3+ goals
70%

Draw no bet

Brunei U19 (draw refunded)
3%
Malaysia U19 (draw refunded)
97%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brunei U19 at home — creates 0.00, concedes 4.75 · 4 matches

Malaysia U19 away — creates 2.86, concedes 1.14 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brunei U19 attack 0.00 + Malaysia U19 defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 0.57

Malaysia U19 attack 2.86 + Brunei U19 defence 4.75 → ÷2 → 3.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 91%?"

Brunei U19 scores more
3%
level
6%
Malaysia U19 scores more
91%

Malaysia U19 at 91% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 91% does not mean "Malaysia U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

22'
L. Hadi
45+3'
S. Arshad
90+2'
N. Firhad
90+3'
I. Hafizan
90+6'
I. Aswad

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

AFF U19 Championship: Brunei U19 0–4 Malaysia U19

Malaysia U19 beat Brunei U19 4-0 in AFF U19 Championship on June 5, 2026.

Goals: L. Hadi (22'), S. Arshad (45+3'), I. Hafizan (90+3'), I. Aswad (90+6').

The match was played at Stadion Teladan in Medan.