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Brora Rangers vs Queen of the South — League Cup 2026

Brora Rangers
Brora Rangers
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Queen of the South
Queen of the South
L. Smith 72', 69'
N. Clark 14'
7/18/2026League CupLeague Cup · Group StageDudgeon Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Brora Rangers10%
×Draw19%
Queen of the South70%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brora Rangers
0.60
Queen of the South
2.00

Queen of the South creates 233% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 15 away

creates per match

Brora Rangers
0.00
Queen of the South
1.87

allows per match

Brora Rangers
2.14
Queen of the South
1.20

finishing

Brora Rangers+0.00on par
Queen of the South+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brora Rangers ↓

Queen of the South →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–115%
0–215%
0–310%
0–45%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–23%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Brora Rangers or draw
30%
Brora Rangers or Queen of the South
81%
Draw or Queen of the South
90%

Winning margin

Brora Rangers wins by 2+
2%
Queen of the South wins by 2+
45%

Team goals

Brora Rangers 1+ goals
45%
Brora Rangers 2+ goals
12%
Brora Rangers 3+ goals
2%
Queen of the South 1+ goals
86%
Queen of the South 2+ goals
59%
Queen of the South 3+ goals
32%

Draw no bet

Brora Rangers (draw refunded)
13%
Queen of the South (draw refunded)
87%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brora Rangers at home — creates 0.00, concedes 2.14 · 7 matches

Queen of the South away — creates 1.87, concedes 1.20 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brora Rangers attack 0.00 + Queen of the South defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 0.60

Queen of the South attack 1.87 + Brora Rangers defence 2.14 → ÷2 → 2.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Brora Rangers scores more
10%
level
19%
Queen of the South scores more
70%

Queen of the South at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Queen of the South will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

14'
N. Clark↳ Z. MacKenzie
42'
S. Nixon
49'
B. Johnstone← J. Hannah
57'
J. Wallace
62'
B. Gardiner← J. Anderson
62'
J. Clark← G. Pullen
62'
A. Kerr← C. Bunce
65'
C. Ewan
69'
L. Smith↳ N. Clark
72'
L. Smith↳ N. Clark
76'
B. Gray← K. Guthrie
76'
J. Kelly← N. Clark
77'
A. Wilson← S. Sutherland
77'
A. Sutherland← J. Wallace
79'
B. Luissint← L. Smith
90+2'
N. Rogerson

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League Cup: Brora Rangers 0–3 Queen of the South

Queen of the South beat Brora Rangers 3-0 in League Cup on July 18, 2026.

Goals: N. Clark (14'), L. Smith (69', 72').

The match was played at Dudgeon Park.