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Brommapojkarna W vs Piteå W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Brommapojkarna W
Brommapojkarna W
Preview
12:00
Piteå W
Piteå W
8/30/2026DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 16Grimsta IP
Big match
40%
Piteå W
model favours
36%24%40%

Brommapojkarna W score first in only 13% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 59+ matches

Brommapojkarna W36%
×Draw24%
Piteå W40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brommapojkarna W
1.50
Piteå W
1.58

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 59 home / 79 away

creates per match

Brommapojkarna W
1.58
Piteå W
1.00

allows per match

Brommapojkarna W
2.17
Piteå W
1.42

finishing

Brommapojkarna W+0.00on par
Piteå W+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brommapojkarna W ↓

Piteå W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Brommapojkarna W or draw
60%
Brommapojkarna W or Piteå W
76%
Draw or Piteå W
64%

Winning margin

Brommapojkarna W wins by 2+
17%
Piteå W wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Brommapojkarna W 1+ goals
78%
Brommapojkarna W 2+ goals
44%
Brommapojkarna W 3+ goals
19%
Piteå W 1+ goals
79%
Piteå W 2+ goals
47%
Piteå W 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Brommapojkarna W (draw refunded)
48%
Piteå W (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brommapojkarna W at home — creates 1.58, concedes 2.17 · 59 matches

Piteå W away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.42 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brommapojkarna W attack 1.58 + Piteå W defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.50

Piteå W attack 1.00 + Brommapojkarna W defence 2.17 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Brommapojkarna W scores more
36%
level
24%
Piteå W scores more
40%

Piteå W at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Piteå W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Piteå W score first in only 15% of matches
  • 73% of Brommapojkarna W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (73% and 62% over 2.5)
  • Brommapojkarna W win just 10% against the top half (vs 38% against the bottom)
  • Piteå W fall short of their xG (0.7 vs 1.5 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Brommapojkarna W
Direct / counter-attacking
Piteå W
Direct / counter-attacking
41%Possession41%
70%Pass accuracy70%
9.9Shots10.5
1.25xGBiggest gap1.46
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Brommapojkarna WPiteå W

Head-to-head

9 previous meetings

3
Brommapojkarna W
2
Draws
4
Piteå W
Avg goals: 2.7BTTS: 56%
2–12–13–11–40–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
LLWWW
W
DLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Brommapojkarna W vs Piteå W — Match Preview

Brommapojkarna W face Piteå W on August 30, 2026 in this Damallsvenskan fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Brommapojkarna W host Piteå W at Grimsta IP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.