Bromley 0–0 Cambridge United: Result & Stats

Bromley

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Cambridge United

4/16/2026

League Two · Round 44Hayes Lane

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

Bromley46%

×Draw25%

Cambridge United29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BromleyExpected goals in this matchCambridge United

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.61

1.22

Bromley

1.61

Cambridge United

1.22

Bromley creates 32% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 12 away

2.27

creates per match

1.38

1.06

allows per match

0.95

creates per match

Bromley

2.27

Cambridge United

1.38

allows per match

Bromley

1.06

Cambridge United

0.95

-0.45scores less than expected

finishing

-0.30scores less than expected

finishing

Bromley-0.45scores less

Cambridge United-0.30scores less

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bromley ↓

Cambridge United →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

54%46%3.5

31%69%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Bromley or draw

71%

Bromley or Cambridge United

75%

Draw or Cambridge United

54%

Winning margin

Bromley wins by 2+

24%

Cambridge United wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Bromley 1+ goals

80%

Bromley 2+ goals

48%

Bromley 3+ goals

22%

Cambridge United 1+ goals

70%

Cambridge United 2+ goals

34%

Cambridge United 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Bromley (draw refunded)

62%

Cambridge United (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bromley at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.06 · 11 matches

Cambridge United away — creates 1.38, concedes 0.95 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bromley attack 2.27 + Cambridge United defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.61

Cambridge United attack 1.38 + Bromley defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Bromley scores more

46%

level

25%

Cambridge United scores more

29%

Bromley at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Bromley will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

K. Watts

Cambridge United · D

7.6

Match Events

47'

51'

73'

73'

84'

C. Whitely← B. Thompson

84'

W. Hondermarck← B. Krauhaus

90+3'

Omar Sowunmi

90+1'

Korey Smith

90+5'

D. Ajayi← J. Arthurs

90+4'

M. Morrison← L. Bennett

90+4'

E. Nevitt← B. Knight

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BromleyCambridge

Overview

43%Possession57%

15Total Shots9

2.73Expected Goals (xG)1.49

4Corners6

8Fouls15

Shots

15Total Shots9

1On Target3

5Off Target5

9Blocked1

12Inside Box8

3Outside Box1

Passing

43%Possession57%

246Total Passes340

132Accurate Passes229

54%Pass Accuracy67%

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

Discipline

8Fouls15

1Yellow Cards2

3Offsides0