Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Brittons Hill vs Wotton — Premier League 2024

Brittons Hill
Brittons Hill
FT
2 – 0
Wotton
Wotton
5/12/2024Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 8Wildey Turf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Brittons Hill72%
×Draw15%
Wotton13%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brittons Hill
2.98
Wotton
1.23

Brittons Hill creates 142% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 23 away

creates per match

Brittons Hill
2.53
Wotton
1.35

allows per match

Brittons Hill
1.10
Wotton
3.43

finishing

Brittons Hill+0.00on par
Wotton+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brittons Hill ↓

Wotton →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–16%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–16%
4–24%
4–32%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Brittons Hill or draw
87%
Brittons Hill or Wotton
85%
Draw or Wotton
28%

Winning margin

Brittons Hill wins by 2+
52%
Wotton wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Brittons Hill 1+ goals
95%
Brittons Hill 2+ goals
79%
Brittons Hill 3+ goals
56%
Wotton 1+ goals
71%
Wotton 2+ goals
35%
Wotton 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Brittons Hill (draw refunded)
85%
Wotton (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brittons Hill at home — creates 2.53, concedes 1.10 · 30 matches

Wotton away — creates 1.35, concedes 3.43 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brittons Hill attack 2.53 + Wotton defence 3.43 → ÷2 → 2.98

Wotton attack 1.35 + Brittons Hill defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Brittons Hill scores more
72%
level
15%
Wotton scores more
13%

Brittons Hill at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Brittons Hill will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Brittons Hill vs Wotton

Brittons Hill beat Wotton 2-0 in Premier League on May 12, 2024.

The match was played at Wildey Turf in Bridgetown.