Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
46%
Over
54%
Under
Both Score
51%
Yes
49%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
0-1
11%
1-0
9%
xG Profile (21 home / 19 away matches)
Brighton
xG 1.48 · xGA 1.07
+0 vs xG
Arsenal
xG 1.62 · xGA 0.84
-0.04 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Mar 4, 2026, 7:30 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Premier League · Regular Season - 29
- Referee
- C. Kavanagh
- Venue
- Amex Stadium, Brighton
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Brighton
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52551%
- Under 2.52449%
Both teams scored
- Yes2449%
- No2551%
Arsenal
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53250%
- Under 2.53250%
Both teams scored
- Yes3047%
- No3453%
Match Events
Arsenal substitutes
Head to Head
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Brentford
Brighton
Chelsea
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Everton
Fulham
Hull City
Ipswich
Leeds
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
TottenhamIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Brighton host Arsenal on Wednesday, 4 March 2026 at 19:30. The match is part of the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Brighton vs Arsenal
Arsenal beat Brighton 1-0 in Premier League on March 4, 2026.
Goals: B. Saka (9').
Brighton controlled possession (60%) and registered 11 shots to 7.
The match was played at Amex Stadium in Brighton.