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Brazil U20 W vs Korea Republic U20 W — Friendlies Women 2026

Brazil U20 W
Brazil U20 W
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Korea Republic U20 W
Korea Republic U20 W
Unknown 63', 14', 6'
6/6/2026Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendly International Women

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Brazil U20 W93%
×Draw6%
Korea Republic U20 W1%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Brazil U20 W
3.08
Korea Republic U20 W
0.17

Brazil U20 W creates 1712% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

Brazil U20 W
3.50
Korea Republic U20 W
0.33

allows per match

Brazil U20 W
0.00
Korea Republic U20 W
2.67

finishing

Brazil U20 W+0.00on par
Korea Republic U20 W+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

85%No
  • No85
  • Yes15

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brazil U20 W ↓

Korea Republic U20 W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–12%
1–20%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–019%
2–13%
2–20%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–020%
3–13%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–015%
4–13%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (20%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Brazil U20 W or draw
99%
Brazil U20 W or Korea Republic U20 W
94%
Draw or Korea Republic U20 W
7%

Winning margin

Brazil U20 W wins by 2+
77%
Korea Republic U20 W wins by 2+
0%

Team goals

Brazil U20 W 1+ goals
95%
Brazil U20 W 2+ goals
81%
Brazil U20 W 3+ goals
58%
Korea Republic U20 W 1+ goals
16%
Korea Republic U20 W 2+ goals
1%
Korea Republic U20 W 3+ goals
0%

Draw no bet

Brazil U20 W (draw refunded)
99%
Korea Republic U20 W (draw refunded)
1%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
13%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brazil U20 W at home — creates 3.50, concedes 0.00 · 4 matches

Korea Republic U20 W away — creates 0.33, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brazil U20 W attack 3.50 + Korea Republic U20 W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 3.08

Korea Republic U20 W attack 0.33 + Brazil U20 W defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 93%?"

Brazil U20 W scores more
93%
level
6%
Korea Republic U20 W scores more
1%

Brazil U20 W at 93% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 93% does not mean "Brazil U20 W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
14'
63'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Brazil U20 W vs Korea Republic U20 W

Brazil U20 W beat Korea Republic U20 W 3-0 in Friendlies Women on June 6, 2026.

Goals: ? (6', 14', 63').