Bravo 1–1 CS Universitatea Craiova: Result & Stats

Bravo

1 – 1

CS Universitatea Craiova

6/29/2021

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Športni Park Šiška

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Bravo37%

×Draw27%

CS Universitatea Craiova36%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BravoExpected goals in this matchCS Universitatea Craiova

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

1.23

Bravo

1.27

CS Universitatea Craiova

1.23

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 9 home / 4 away

1.78

creates per match

1.25

1.22

allows per match

0.75

creates per match

Bravo

1.78

CS Universitatea Craiova

1.25

allows per match

Bravo

1.22

CS Universitatea Craiova

0.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bravo+0.00on par

CS Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bravo ↓

CS Universitatea Craiova →

0–08%

0–110%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Bravo or draw

64%

Bravo or CS Universitatea Craiova

73%

Draw or CS Universitatea Craiova

63%

Winning margin

Bravo wins by 2+

16%

CS Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Bravo 1+ goals

72%

Bravo 2+ goals

36%

Bravo 3+ goals

14%

CS Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals

71%

CS Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals

35%

CS Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Bravo (draw refunded)

51%

CS Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Bravo at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

CS Universitatea Craiova away — creates 1.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Bravo attack 1.78 + CS Universitatea Craiova defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.27

CS Universitatea Craiova attack 1.25 + Bravo defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 37%?"

Bravo scores more

37%

level

27%

CS Universitatea Craiova scores more

36%

Bravo at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Bravo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Bravo 1–1 CS Universitatea Craiova

Bravo and CS Universitatea Craiova drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 29, 2021.

The match was played at Športni Park Šiška in Ljubljana.

Bravo vs CS Universitatea Craiova — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Bravo 1–1 CS Universitatea Craiova