Bratstvo Prigrevica 0–0 1. Maj Ruma: Result & Stats

Bratstvo Prigrevica

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

1. Maj Ruma

3/5/2022

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 16Stadion FK Feniks 1995

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 43+ matches

Bratstvo Prigrevica53%

×Draw24%

1. Maj Ruma23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bratstvo PrigrevicaExpected goals in this match1. Maj Ruma

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.72

1.04

Bratstvo Prigrevica

1.72

1. Maj Ruma

1.04

Bratstvo Prigrevica creates 65% more chances

Season form · 43 home / 72 away

1.72

creates per match

1.06

1.02

allows per match

1.72

creates per match

Bratstvo Prigrevica

1.72

1. Maj Ruma

1.06

allows per match

Bratstvo Prigrevica

1.02

1. Maj Ruma

1.72

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bratstvo Prigrevica+0.00on par

1. Maj Ruma+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bratstvo Prigrevica ↓

1. Maj Ruma →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Bratstvo Prigrevica or draw

77%

Bratstvo Prigrevica or 1. Maj Ruma

76%

Draw or 1. Maj Ruma

47%

Winning margin

Bratstvo Prigrevica wins by 2+

29%

1. Maj Ruma wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Bratstvo Prigrevica 1+ goals

82%

Bratstvo Prigrevica 2+ goals

51%

Bratstvo Prigrevica 3+ goals

25%

1. Maj Ruma 1+ goals

65%

1. Maj Ruma 2+ goals

28%

1. Maj Ruma 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Bratstvo Prigrevica (draw refunded)

70%

1. Maj Ruma (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bratstvo Prigrevica at home — creates 1.72, concedes 1.02 · 43 matches

1. Maj Ruma away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.72 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bratstvo Prigrevica attack 1.72 + 1. Maj Ruma defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.72

1. Maj Ruma attack 1.06 + Bratstvo Prigrevica defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Bratstvo Prigrevica scores more

53%

level

24%

1. Maj Ruma scores more

23%

Bratstvo Prigrevica at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Bratstvo Prigrevica will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff