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Bradford vs Peterborough — League One 2025

Bradford
Bradford
Preview
14:00
Peterborough
Peterborough
8/15/2026League OneLeague One · Round 1Valley Parade
Big match
46%
Bradford
model favours
46%27%27%

Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
under 2.5 goals
48%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 29+ matches

Bradford46%
×Draw27%
Peterborough27%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bradford
1.40
Peterborough
1.02

Bradford creates 37% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 36 away

creates per match

Bradford
1.21
Peterborough
1.25

allows per match

Bradford
0.79
Peterborough
1.58

finishing

Bradford+0.00on par
Peterborough+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bradford ↓

Peterborough →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Bradford or draw
73%
Bradford or Peterborough
73%
Draw or Peterborough
54%

Winning margin

Bradford wins by 2+
22%
Peterborough wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Bradford 1+ goals
75%
Bradford 2+ goals
41%
Bradford 3+ goals
17%
Peterborough 1+ goals
64%
Peterborough 2+ goals
27%
Peterborough 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Bradford (draw refunded)
62%
Peterborough (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bradford at home — creates 1.21, concedes 0.79 · 29 matches

Peterborough away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.58 · 36 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bradford attack 1.21 + Peterborough defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.40

Peterborough attack 1.25 + Bradford defence 0.79 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Bradford scores more
46%
level
27%
Peterborough scores more
27%

Bradford at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Bradford will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Bradford sit 5, Peterborough 18 in the table
  • Bradford fall short of their xG (1.3 vs 1.9 expected)
  • Their last 5 meetings averaged 4 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Bradford
Attack-heavy
Peterborough
Attack-heavy
53%Possession56%
68%Pass accuracy79%
16.1ShotsBiggest gap12.9
1.85xG1.69
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BradfordPeterborough

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

2
Bradford
3
Draws
0
Peterborough
Avg goals: 4BTTS: 80%
2–01–13–14–42–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Bradford
WWLLW
Peterborough
LDLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Bradford host Peterborough

August 15, 2026: Bradford take on Peterborough in League One. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Bradford host Peterborough at Valley Parade.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.