Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Reims — Coupe de France 2018

Bourgoin-Jallieu
Bourgoin-Jallieu
Pens
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Reims
Reimsadvanced
S. Atik 120+9' (pen)
C. Bozkurt 120+1' (pen)
Sergio Akieme 120+10' (pen)
N. Sangui 120+6' (pen)
Aurélio Buta 120+4' (pen)
2/6/2025Coupe de FranceCoupe de France · Round of 16Stade Pierre Rajon

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Bourgoin-Jallieu37%
×Draw23%
Reims40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bourgoin-Jallieu
1.63
Reims
1.68

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 3 home / 14 away

creates per match

Bourgoin-Jallieu
2.33
Reims
2.36

allows per match

Bourgoin-Jallieu
1.00
Reims
0.93

finishing

Bourgoin-Jallieu+0.00on par
Reims+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bourgoin-Jallieu ↓

Reims →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Bourgoin-Jallieu or draw
60%
Bourgoin-Jallieu or Reims
77%
Draw or Reims
63%

Winning margin

Bourgoin-Jallieu wins by 2+
19%
Reims wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Bourgoin-Jallieu 1+ goals
80%
Bourgoin-Jallieu 2+ goals
48%
Bourgoin-Jallieu 3+ goals
22%
Reims 1+ goals
81%
Reims 2+ goals
50%
Reims 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Bourgoin-Jallieu (draw refunded)
49%
Reims (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bourgoin-Jallieu at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Reims away — creates 2.36, concedes 0.93 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bourgoin-Jallieu attack 2.33 + Reims defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.63

Reims attack 2.36 + Bourgoin-Jallieu defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Bourgoin-Jallieu scores more
37%
level
23%
Reims scores more
40%

Reims at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Reims will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1
A. OllieroReimsReims · G
8.5

Match Events

46'
J. Siebatcheu← K. Nakamura
57'
Hiroki Sekine
61'
S. Ben Amar← P. Kohser
65'
Aurélio Buta← H. Sekine
66'
E. Zabi← J. Siebatcheu
73'
Sergio Akieme← M. Diakhon
76'
Sergio Akieme
80'
N. Sissoko← J. Patrick
88'
M. Mainge← A. Ezzaytouni
88'
E. Nordé← M. Imbert
90+5'
S. Atik← Billel Moumen
120+1'
C. BozkurtPenalty
120+2'
O. DiakitéMissed penalty
120+3'
W. MendyMissed penalty
120+4'
Aurélio ButaPenalty
120+5'
E. NordéMissed penalty
120+6'
N. SanguiPenalty
120+7'
S. Ben AmarMissed penalty
120+8'
J. ItoMissed penalty
120+9'
S. AtikPenalty
120+10'
Sergio AkiemePenalty

Possession

33%Bourgoin-Jallieu

Shots

2Bourgoin-Jallieu

Pass accuracy

42%Bourgoin-Jallieu

Statistics

Bourgoin-JallieuReims
Overview
33%Possession67%
2Total Shots14
2Corners8
7Fouls10
Shots
2Total Shots14
1On Target4
1Off Target4
0Blocked6
2Inside Box7
0Outside Box7
Passing
33%Possession67%
245Total Passes491
152Accurate Passes413
62%Pass Accuracy84%
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
Discipline
7Fouls10
0Yellow Cards2
4Offsides0

Coupe de France: Bourgoin-Jallieu 0–0 Reims

Bourgoin-Jallieu and Reims drew 0-0 in Coupe de France on February 6, 2025.

Goals: C. Bozkurt (120+1' pen), Aurélio Buta (120+4' pen), N. Sangui (120+6' pen), S. Atik (120+9' pen), Sergio Akieme (120+10' pen).

Reims controlled possession (67%) and registered 14 shots to 2.

The match was played at Stade Pierre Rajon in Bourgoin-Jallieu.