Bouenguidi 0–2 Oyem AC: Result & Stats

Bouenguidi

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Oyem AC

4/28/2026

Championnat D1 · Round 10

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Bouenguidi23%

×Draw28%

Oyem AC49%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BouenguidiExpected goals in this matchOyem AC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.82

1.33

Bouenguidi

0.82

Oyem AC

1.33

Oyem AC creates 62% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 13 away

0.73

creates per match

1.69

0.97

allows per match

0.92

creates per match

Bouenguidi

0.73

Oyem AC

1.69

allows per match

Bouenguidi

0.97

Oyem AC

0.92

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bouenguidi+0.00on par

Oyem AC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bouenguidi ↓

Oyem AC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–115%

0–210%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–15%

2–23%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–11%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Bouenguidi or draw

51%

Bouenguidi or Oyem AC

72%

Draw or Oyem AC

77%

Winning margin

Bouenguidi wins by 2+

7%

Oyem AC wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Bouenguidi 1+ goals

56%

Bouenguidi 2+ goals

20%

Bouenguidi 3+ goals

5%

Oyem AC 1+ goals

74%

Oyem AC 2+ goals

38%

Oyem AC 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Bouenguidi (draw refunded)

32%

Oyem AC (draw refunded)

68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

28%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bouenguidi at home — creates 0.73, concedes 0.97 · 30 matches

Oyem AC away — creates 1.69, concedes 0.92 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bouenguidi attack 0.73 + Oyem AC defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.82

Oyem AC attack 1.69 + Bouenguidi defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Bouenguidi scores more

23%

level

28%

Oyem AC scores more

49%

Oyem AC at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Oyem AC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff